Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.336254 0.390615 0.447867 0.512373 0.582743 0.656911 0.740719
2025-01-05 0.254385 0.327829 0.410198 0.508264 0.620706 0.744537 0.890154
2025-01-12 0.197113 0.281366 0.381681 0.507183 0.657333 0.828734 1.036713
2025-01-19 0.159700 0.251503 0.367059 0.518086 0.705377 0.925513 1.199320
2025-01-26 0.132990 0.230224 0.359129 0.534276 0.758249 1.027960 1.370214
2025-02-02 0.111755 0.212410 0.352638 0.550066 0.809489 1.128485 1.540188
2025-02-09 0.089034 0.188180 0.334044 0.547232 0.835223 1.196774 1.671156
2025-02-16 0.074136 0.173073 0.325991 0.556849 0.876047 1.283671 1.825675
2025-02-23 0.059144 0.154698 0.310649 0.554292 0.899314 1.347547 1.951468
2025-03-02 0.043353 0.131083 0.284102 0.532892 0.894824 1.374018 2.028977
2025-03-09 0.035424 0.120573 0.277006 0.539031 0.927736 1.449353 2.169489
2025-03-16 0.026568 0.105519 0.260247 0.528769 0.936237 1.491479 2.266745
2025-03-23 0.023082 0.102096 0.263772 0.550805 0.992583 1.600297 2.454696
2025-03-30 0.017755 0.092253 0.254370 0.551330 1.017196 1.666140 2.586806
2025-04-06 0.013553 0.083697 0.246177 0.552973 1.043053 1.733762 2.721909
2025-04-13 0.011017 0.079084 0.245078 0.566140 1.086253 1.825887 2.890764
2025-04-20 0.009225 0.076158 0.246982 0.584256 1.137115 1.929202 3.075591
2025-04-27 0.007652 0.073247 0.248504 0.601561 1.186899 2.031502 3.259983
2025-05-04 0.005392 0.065849 0.239162 0.598874 1.205170 2.089001 3.383687
2025-05-11 0.004133 0.061996 0.237260 0.609266 1.243957 2.176098 3.548568
2025-05-18 0.002738 0.055729 0.228675 0.606658 1.261671 2.232772 3.671853
2025-05-25 0.001331 0.046224 0.210224 0.583991 1.245928 2.240097 3.726353
2025-06-01 0.000851 0.042902 0.207170 0.590547 1.277718 2.317118 3.878399